Preference for Randomization: Empirical and Experimental Evidence
نویسندگان
چکیده
We investigate violations of consequentialism in the form of the stochastic dominance property. The property is shared by many theories of choice and implies that the decision-maker prefers receiving the best outcome for sure over all lotteries that involve multiple outcomes. We run experiments to demonstrate that dominated randomization can be attractive. In treatments where decision-makers are asked to submit multiple decisions without knowing which one is relevant, many participants submit contradictory sets of decisions and thereby induce a dominated lottery between outcomes. Explicit choice of non-consequentialist randomization is observed in a separate treatment. A possible reason for the effect is the desire to avoid having to make the decision. A large data set on (high-stake) university applications in Germany shows patterns that are consistent with a preference for randomization.
منابع مشابه
Empirical evidence of bias in the design of experimental stroke studies: a metaepidemiologic approach.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE At least part of the failure in the transition from experimental to clinical studies in stroke has been attributed to the imprecision introduced by problems in the design of experimental stroke studies. Using a metaepidemiologic approach, we addressed the effect of randomization, blinding, and use of comorbid animals on the estimate of how effectively therapeutic interven...
متن کاملRisk, Delay, and Convex Self-Control Costs
The dual-self model supposes that decision-making involves a conflict between the desire for immediate and safe gratification on the one hand, and riskier long term benefits on the other. This conflict is resolved through a decision criterion that puts weights on both desires. A key element of the model is that this weighting is endogenous, and that changes in constraints that have the same eff...
متن کاملValue of Travel Time :Theoretical and Empirical Method
The value of travel time savings (VTTS) is the monetary value attached to save a determined amount of travel time. VTTS is also the most important benefit category aimed at justifying investments in transport infrastructures by public administrations. Hence VTTS played a significant role in various economic studies, both analytical and empirical (Zamparini & Reggiani, 2007). "It is difficult to...
متن کاملNEW OPTIMIZED EQUATIONS WITH INTELLIGENT MODELS FOR PREDICTING HYDRAULIC JUMP CHARACTERISTICS OVER ARTIFICIAL AND NATURAL ROUGH BEDS
The available studies for estimating the characteristics of hydraulic jump are only for artificial or natural beds, and very limited researches have simultaneously considered artificial and natural beds. The aim of this study is to present comprehensive equations and models for predicting the characteristics of hydraulic jump in artificial and natural rough beds with various dimensions, arrange...
متن کاملEvaluation of Clinical Trials
In a number of important clinical issues such as evaluation of the efficacy or effectiveness of therapeutic or preventive interventions as well as for comparing the harms of interventions, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) provide the highest levels of evidence, either directly or indirectly. It is obvious that critical appraisal of these studies to assess their validity and precision is of p...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2012